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Count Bobulescu

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  1. Understood, but recovery is also a lagging indicator 2-6 weeks. That's what confuses me.
  2. The last money bill passed by congress had $400M for vote by mail in November. No-one believes that will be nearly enough, but at least it's a start.
  3. I've been watching a worldometer fatality number gradually creep up. It's in the closed cases box at the top of the page. It's an aggregate global number. There are two subcategories, recovered and deceased. Over the last three weeks or so, deceased as a % of closed has increased from 15 to 20-21%. Not sure what to make of it, except that it doesn't look good. Deceased increasing at a faster rate than recovered. Hopefully that will reverse after the apex. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
  4. Virginia previously didn't allow vote-by-mail without an excuse. A new law will allow no-excuse absentee voting in November, and a temporary measure also allows it for local May elections. Nancy says she believes the November elections will be an all mail affair. Least worst choice imo.
  5. Harvard scientists are suggesting we may be in for periods of intermittent social distancing until 2022, or until a vaccine is found. They arrive at the number of 3.75 per 1,000 people as the point at which social distancing needs to be implemented, in order to keep the number needing critical care manageable.That's a lot (10x) higher than we're currently experiencing in the DMV. NY state is currently at around 2.5 per 1,000. Maybe we'll need a thread for life after...... social distancing til 2022
  6. Politico had a story yesterday that the current administration ignored a 69 page "playbook" completed in 2016 by the NSC, designed to provide a roadmap for dealing with public health emergencies and pandemics. NSC Playbook Ignored IBM's new county-by-county database.
  7. Believe that's illegal. Supposed to get a sig for booze.
  8. I believe so. I opted for both. My understanding is that they will mail/email both ballots about 3 weeks in advance.
  9. Tuesday evening the UK government asked for 250,000 volunteers to assist the NHS, hoping to achieve target in a few days. 24 hours later they had 405,000.
  10. From TwitterPrince Charles is isolating at Balmoral with Covid-19Prince Andrew is isolating at Windsor with Jennifer-17 15 minute finger prick home test kits to be widely available in the UK this week. First to those with symptoms, later to the broader public. Home Testing Kits for UK
  11. NY state with 25K cases, although not as densely populated as Italy, is now at comparable per capita infection rates of 105/100K, and considered 12 days behind, so more likely to end up worse than Italy..
  12. Sure, but no-one is suggesting that reducing greenhouse gas is a cure-all for all that ails food production. It's one component. Other components (e.g.heavy water consumption for red meat) need different solutions. That's one reason the synthetic beef companies are attracting investors. The more successful those companies become, the more likely you are to see taxes on traditionally produced red meat, to compensate for "excessive" water use. With need for fewer cattle, both water consumption and GG production decline.
  13. More evidence in support..... Food production accounts for 25% of Greenhouse Gas. 25% of production is discarded, = 6% of GG. food-waste-emissions
  14. Paging Dean............. COVID-19 deaths and cases: how do sources compare? There are thre big global datasets on COVID19: the World Health Organization, Johns Hopkins University, and the European CDCWe brought the data from all 3 together to allow you to compare the data – globally and for every country in the world.We also explain why we stopped using WHO data. our world in data
  15. Axios......LAST YEAR, on the next-to-last Sunday in March, United flew 419,000 passengers at a load factor of 91%. YESTERDAY, United flew 64,000 domestic passengers at 24%. Last Sunday -- March 15 -- United flew 233,000. They lost 169,000 passengers from last week to this week.
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